QUOTE(Pisces @ Nov 30 2006, 04:45 AM)

QUOTE(Channler @ Nov 30 2006, 05:05 PM)

Uh.. You mean like 20 years.. Remember I said something bad has to happen first? Icebergs are cool, wait till they sink a ship...
Anyways you would be silly to say though that the development of 3rd world countries (which is a outdated name anyways.. They do deserve better then that) could be done without fossil fuel. Sure maybe in a hundred years and lots of investment, but a simpler process will be used first and that process with need.. Gasoline.
Tell me what exactly are they going to use gasoline for? Cars, the roads there are compassion even if they could afford enough cars to do their part in emissions, power generation? The majority of the population doesn't have a electricity grid and it would cost billions to build one, for individual generation it would cost individuals a large proportion of their income and require hours of time to get the petrol, villages in the middle of no where tend not to have petrol stations capable a supplying the village. Solar power is much better for development.
But I really don't want to get into development stratergies, they are so long and there as so many of them.
You increase infrastucture.. you increase mobility. Look at China. At one point in time it was stupid to think that you could travel, but once the government loosened up regs on everything and the price of the car was in reach of the middle class.. BOOM! China is exploding with economic development.. And guess what? They need more fuel..
So sure, I'd rather see wind farms then these big factories, but with our current mindset it won't work. And yes, it is still expensive.
QUOTE
As for development, I favor raising living standards in developing countries, if it occurs coincident to conservation on our part and global population reduction--preferably by taxing large families. Of course, it isn't THAT simple, but we could certainly do with a tax on large families in the United States, as opposed to the current tax system which encourages large families. 2 children per family is quite enough.
I don't think so.. Looks at the population statistics for most European and Asian countries. Heres a quote from an article on
VanityFair...
QUOTE
The demographic transformation of the West has its roots in feminism. Legislation against sex discrimination opened all kinds of careers to women that had previously been dominated by men. At the same time, the ready availability of contraception and abortion gave women an unprecedented control over their own fertility. Beginning in the late 1970s, the average Western European couple had fewer than two children. Today the figure is around 1.4, whereas it needs to be slightly higher than 2 for a population to remain constant. Europeans, quite simply, have ceased to reproduce themselves. The United Nations Population Division forecasts that, if Spanish fertility persists at such low levels, within 50 years the country's population will decline by more than 4 million. The population of Italy will fall by a fifth. The overall reduction in native-born European numbers could be as much as 14 million. Not even two World Wars inflicted such an absolute decline in population.
As you can see, less is not a good thing. In fact we should reward people for having children and taking care of them. I r sycko!